What to Expect of the Real Estate Market in 4th Quarter in Napa Valley

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September 2021 Statistics

In September we saw more inventory year over year and fewer homes sold. The average sold price is much higher than last year and the average number of days on market is lower. The absorption rate is still favorable for sellers but with the interest rates and more inventory, this could also be a great time to buy.

Even with the adjustments in inventory, it doesn't mean that there is a lot of inventory in your budget so if you do need a mortgage make sure to get preapproved and obtain a letter of proof of funds to include in your offer.

The absorption rate in September was 48% (6% lower than last month). As a reminder, typically rates below 15% indicate a buyer's market, and above 20% indicate a seller's market.

In September total homes for sale were up 7% (12 homes). The sold homes were down 28% (33 homes) and the pending was down 13.3% (13 homes). The average sold amount was up 55.3% ($587k on average)but the average dollar per square was down 0.5% ($3.5 on average). The average number of days on market was down 37.9% (32 days). To get a better understanding of the right time to buy/sell, click here for a breakout by town.

Today's Rates (please check with your lender as these change regularly):

30 Yr FRM 3.27%

15 Yr FRM 2.64%

FHA 30 Year Fixed 2.9%

Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.2%

5/1 ARM 3.13%